Well technically speaking, you can predict what people will buy. It just might not be accurate.That said, Rik, you drew a distinction between what people enjoy and what they would buy. But, if an algorithm can predict what people would enjoy, it would be a big step towards finding a more advanced version that would predict what people would buy.
I am not saying it's possible; I'm saying that your distinction, while important, MAY (emphasis may) not be an argument towards looking for an algorithm that can predict the success of movies. As of now, I'm also a skeptic, but I'll keep an open mind.
You're right... It's worse ;( Of course there are worse movies out there, but for the budget, it... missed the mark on too many fronts. Its biggest hook was "Disney spent 240mil making this". I'm just pissed that I got conned into seeing it at the Cinema.Dammit. John Carter is not a bad movie.
In Blu-Ray sales only. And only the first week. It immediately
In the entire history of entertainment - not just movies but allI am not saying it's possible; I'm saying that your distinction, while important, MAY (emphasis may) not be an argument towards looking for an algorithm that can predict the success of movies.
Why would this be encouraging to a storyteller? Because it gives him hope of beating the big studios?In the entire history of entertainment - not just movies but all
entertainment - producers have tried to find a set of numbers
that will predict the success of their product. It has never succeeded.
I suspect it never will. People (the buying public) are unpredictable.
Frightening to a producer - encouraging to a storyteller.
That's a producer's understanding. As a storyteller I am encouraged because I don'tWhy would this be encouraging to a storyteller? Because it gives him hope of beating the big studios?
Exactly my point. All the testing and research and audience polls suggested that in"Last Action Hero" was awful, by the way.
I'd agree with that. I think the story in "Last Action Hero" really killed it, not the actor, director, or scriptwriter - sometimes, people just tell lousy stories. But, if that's the case, then why have the prequels done so well?As a storyteller I am encouraged because I don't have to generate a story based on a mathematical algorithm. I am not concerned about beating the big studios. I can write a story an algorithm would tell a producer will never make money and still have the potential of making money. It's hard enough to get anything original produced - if there was a reliable algorithm that all
producers used originality would completely disappear.
I read a bunch of bad reviews, so I waited until it hit the dollar theater. I had no expectations, so I really liked it. Arnold kills the assasin in the closet:"Last Action Hero" was awful, by the way.
I think this might be why:What algorithm would
predict that a movie about a bobsled team from Jamaica would
attract more movie goers than an action film written by Shane Black,
directed by John McTiernan and starring Arnold would be out performed
by “Cool Runnings”?
http://www.studio360.org/2012/apr/13/pg-13-vs-r-whats-the-difference-really/Apr 13, 2012 – In 2011, of the ten movies that sold the most tickets, eight were rated PG-13.