That said, Rik, you drew a distinction between what people enjoy and what they would buy. But, if an algorithm can predict what people would enjoy, it would be a big step towards finding a more advanced version that would predict what people would buy.
I am not saying it's possible; I'm saying that your distinction, while important, MAY (emphasis may) not be an argument towards looking for an algorithm that can predict the success of movies. As of now, I'm also a skeptic, but I'll keep an open mind.
Dammit. John Carter is not a bad movie.
In Blu-Ray sales only. And only the first week. It immediately
In the entire history of entertainment - not just movies but allI am not saying it's possible; I'm saying that your distinction, while important, MAY (emphasis may) not be an argument towards looking for an algorithm that can predict the success of movies.
In the entire history of entertainment - not just movies but all
entertainment - producers have tried to find a set of numbers
that will predict the success of their product. It has never succeeded.
I suspect it never will. People (the buying public) are unpredictable.
Frightening to a producer - encouraging to a storyteller.
That's a producer's understanding. As a storyteller I am encouraged because I don'tWhy would this be encouraging to a storyteller? Because it gives him hope of beating the big studios?
Exactly my point. All the testing and research and audience polls suggested that in"Last Action Hero" was awful, by the way.
As a storyteller I am encouraged because I don't have to generate a story based on a mathematical algorithm. I am not concerned about beating the big studios. I can write a story an algorithm would tell a producer will never make money and still have the potential of making money. It's hard enough to get anything original produced - if there was a reliable algorithm that all
producers used originality would completely disappear.
"Last Action Hero" was awful, by the way.
What algorithm would
predict that a movie about a bobsled team from Jamaica would
attract more movie goers than an action film written by Shane Black,
directed by John McTiernan and starring Arnold would be out performed
by “Cool Runnings”?
http://www.studio360.org/2012/apr/13/pg-13-vs-r-whats-the-difference-really/Apr 13, 2012 – In 2011, of the ten movies that sold the most tickets, eight were rated PG-13.