In my opinion, there would be just about AS MANY people, if not MORE. I'm saying people would probably watch those sub-par films online and even really crappy movies if the price was good enough.
There are a lot advances in technology coming about if you haven't noticed. Things like Apple TV make it possible to watch a movie from your computer on your TV. I doubt Microsoft will follow suite for PC users since they have had enough success.. But people might buy a transfer device like Apple TV if it meant they could watch theater movies in the comfort of their home.
I am HIGHLY AWARE of the advances in technology. LOL.
No offense but if the research showed that there were enough people willing to do BOTH, they would certainly being doing both.
One of the problems that makes this a riskier venture than music is word of mouth... Even if a few thousand people in your age demographic watch a sub-par film online, that could -- especially because of the Internet -- kill the film if the word of mouth goes wide enough. Music is different in that groups and artists have their own fan base built-in. It won't matter if I bad mouth somebody's album to a true fan.
Unfortunately, films do not enjoy the same kind of fan base. Probably because there's just too many variables and is ultimately a much more collaborative medium.
By the same token, if the film is outstanding, it could become viral and word of mouth could catapult it to bigger boxoffice.
Having said that however...
Take a look at the films that come out today... Would it be worth the risk since so many films just do not live up to their hype?
Probably not at this point.
The technology is close but distributors haven't caught up with technology and they aren't likely to for at least a few more years because at this point, it's just too risky to do something like this with a film that cost $50 Mil to $150 Mil.
People are NO DOUBT going to purchase more appliances like Apple TV in the future... It's inevitable.
But for now there's no real consistent solution to both release films online and in theaters simultaneously. Not enough people have Apple TV OR are purchasing Apple TV and it's going to take a few more years for people to get rid of their current televisions in favor of widescreen televisions. In fact, I'm the only person I know with a widescreen. None of my family or friends in this vicinity care enough about movies to go out and purchase a widescreen.
Yet.
Of course it's going to happen eventually... Yet just about all these same people have iPods and MP3 players and amazing stereo equipment.
Not that this is by any means a scientific analysis...
I think it just plain comes down to this...
Most movies suck.
filmy