I was talking with a continuity guy on a shoot yesterday, and he was telling me that the industry is in such chaos right now: the internet for marketing, HD for shooting, multiple formats and no standard... and rising quality in low-budget productions... it seems like the perfect time to break into filmmaking... but on the other hand, that's probably what everyone else is thinking... hence the staggering amounts of indie flicks. So the question is- how long before the industry clamps down, and figures out a way to raise the prices/profits for films again? Will new technology continue to open doors, or will it ascend in price until you might as well be shooting 16mm?
Right NOW, I think there is a narrow window to break open the distrubution doors, but as soon as someone figures it out and make a forumla, you can be sure that door will close.